The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Frosinone | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.7 | +4.8 |
| xG per match | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| xGA per match | 2.42 | 2.23 |
| Scored | 9 | 8 |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
By quality of play Frosinone is ahead: 5.3 xPTS against 4.2. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Frosinone: +4.7, Atalanta: +4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Frosinone — 6.9, Atalanta — 4.8.