The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Cagliari | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 12 | 10 |
| xPTS | 5.8 | 11.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.2 | −1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 2.07 |
| xGA per match | 1.75 | 1.23 |
| Scored | 5 | 10 |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
By quality of play Napoli is ahead: 11.7 xPTS against 5.8. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Cagliari: +6.2, Napoli: −1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Cagliari — 2.7, Napoli — 7.0.