The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Fiorentina | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 18 | 19 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 9 | 4.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −5.0 | −0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 0.85 |
| xGA per match | 1.87 | 2.01 |
| Scored | 8 | 4 |
| Conceded | 17 | 13 |
By quality of play Fiorentina is ahead: 9.0 xPTS against 4.8. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Fiorentina: −5.0, Parma: −0.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Fiorentina — 4.9, Parma — 4.0.