The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Fiorentina | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 19 | 20 |
| Points | 4 | 0 |
| xPTS | 7.2 | 5.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.2 | −5.5 |
| xG per match | 1.41 | 1.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.83 | 2.47 |
| Scored | 7 | 4 |
| Conceded | 14 | 13 |
By quality of play Fiorentina is ahead: 7.2 xPTS against 5.5. In the table the gap is 4 points. The gap between points and play — Fiorentina: −3.2, Venezia: −5.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Fiorentina — 4.7, Venezia — 4.7.