The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Frosinone | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 17 | 14 |
| xPTS | 10.3 | 18.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.7 | −4.8 |
| xG per match | 1.95 | 2.27 |
| xGA per match | 2.47 | 1.22 |
| Scored | 22 | 17 |
| Conceded | 14 | 11 |
By quality of play Napoli is ahead: 18.8 xPTS against 10.3. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Frosinone: +6.7, Napoli: −4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Frosinone — 6.0, Napoli — 9.7.