The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Roma | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 5 |
| Points | 17 | 14 |
| xPTS | 15.4 | 11.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.6 | +2.1 |
| xG per match | 2.66 | 2.22 |
| xGA per match | 1.13 | 1.68 |
| Scored | 16 | 12 |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
By quality of play Roma is ahead: 15.4 xPTS against 11.9. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Roma: +1.6, Como: +2.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Roma — 11.9, Como — 8.9.