The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Genoa | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 18 | 19 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 7 | 9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.0 | −5.0 |
| xG per match | 0.96 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.44 | 1.87 |
| Scored | 5 | 8 |
| Conceded | 13 | 17 |
By quality of play Fiorentina is ahead: 9.0 xPTS against 7.0. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Genoa: −3.0, Fiorentina: −5.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Genoa — 5.0, Fiorentina — 4.8.