The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Inter | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 19 | 14 |
| xPTS | 16.4 | 11.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.6 | +2.1 |
| xG per match | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| xGA per match | 1.38 | 1.68 |
| Scored | 21 | 12 |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
By quality of play Inter is ahead: 16.4 xPTS against 11.9. In the table the gap is 5 points. The gap between points and play — Inter: +2.6, Como: +2.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Inter — 11.6, Como — 8.9.