The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Inter | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 6 |
| Points | 16 | 11 |
| xPTS | 13.9 | 14.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.1 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 3.08 | 1.93 |
| xGA per match | 1.31 | 0.49 |
| Scored | 18 | 9 |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
By quality of play they are level: 13.9 xPTS against 14.7. The gap between points and play — Inter: +2.1, Juventus: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Inter — 10.7, Juventus — 11.8.