The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lazio | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 5 |
| Points | 19 | 14 |
| xPTS | 11.6 | 11.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +7.4 | +2.1 |
| xG per match | 1.72 | 2.22 |
| xGA per match | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| Scored | 14 | 12 |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
By quality of play they are level: 11.6 xPTS against 11.9. The gap between points and play — Lazio: +7.4, Como: +2.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lazio — 9.3, Como — 8.9.