The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lazio | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 16 | 11 |
| xPTS | 10 | 14.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.0 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| xGA per match | 1.49 | 0.49 |
| Scored | 11 | 9 |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
By quality of play Juventus is ahead: 14.7 xPTS against 10.0. In the table the gap is 5 points. The gap between points and play — Lazio: +6.0, Juventus: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lazio — 7.5, Juventus — 11.8.