The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Parma | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 19 | 20 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| xPTS | 4.8 | 7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.8 | −4.0 |
| xG per match | 0.85 | 1.77 |
| xGA per match | 2.01 | 2.55 |
| Scored | 4 | 6 |
| Conceded | 13 | 16 |
By quality of play Venezia is ahead: 7.0 xPTS against 4.8. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Parma: −0.8, Venezia: −4.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Parma — 4.0, Venezia — 4.4.