The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Roma | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 6 |
| Points | 14 | 11 |
| xPTS | 13.2 | 14.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.8 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 2.87 | 1.93 |
| xGA per match | 1.24 | 0.49 |
| Scored | 14 | 9 |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
By quality of play Juventus is ahead: 14.7 xPTS against 13.2. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Roma: +0.8, Juventus: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Roma — 11.7, Juventus — 11.8.