The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Sassuolo | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.2 | −3.3 |
| xG per match | 1.78 | 1.86 |
| xGA per match | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Scored | 12 | 13 |
| Conceded | 14 | 15 |
By quality of play Monza is ahead: 10.3 xPTS against 9.2. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Sassuolo: −1.2, Monza: −3.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Sassuolo — 6.2, Monza — 7.7.