The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Udinese | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 5.2 | 7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.2 | −3.0 |
| xG per match | 1.18 | 0.96 |
| xGA per match | 2.48 | 1.44 |
| Scored | 9 | 5 |
| Conceded | 16 | 13 |
By quality of play Genoa is ahead: 7.0 xPTS against 5.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Udinese: −1.2, Genoa: −3.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Udinese — 3.5, Genoa — 5.0.