Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich: match prediction
HoffenheimVS
Bayern MunichThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win11%Hoffenheim
Draw14%
Away win75%Bayern Munich
Expected points, home0.47
What to expect
Bayern Munich are favourites: 75% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Bayern Munich should create more, 2.62 expected goals a match against 1.43. Bayern Munich are 3.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | 9 | 9 | 12 | 14.3 | −2.3 | 2.01 | 1.66 |
| Bayern Munich | 1 | 9 | 21 | 24.8 | −3.8 | 3.59 | 0.86 |
Recent matches
Hoffenheim — 
Schalke 04 2:1
Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim 2:0Hoffenheim — 
Bayer Leverkusen 3:0
Borussia M.Gladbach — Hoffenheim 1:2Hoffenheim — 
Hamburger SV 2:3
Mainz 05 — Bayern Munich 1:2Bayern Munich — 
Borussia Dortmund 2:2
Freiburg — Bayern Munich 1:3Bayern Munich — 
RasenBallsport Leipzig 6:1
Augsburg — Bayern Munich 2:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions