The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Hoffenheim are favourites: 76% to win against 9%. Attack against defence: Hoffenheim should create more, 2.12 expected goals a match against 1.35. Hoffenheim are 2.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | 10 | 7 | 9 | 11.9 | −2.9 | 2.14 | 1.58 |
| Schalke 04 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | 1.12 | 2.09 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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