Bournemouth vs Hull City: match prediction
BournemouthVS
Hull CityThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win76%Bournemouth
Draw16%
Away win8%Hull City
Expected points, home2.43
What to expect
Bournemouth are favourites: 76% to win against 8%. Attack against defence: Bournemouth should create more, 1.85 expected goals a match against 1.09. Bournemouth are 3.6 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 7 | 10 | 15 | 18.6 | −3.6 | 2.03 | 1.15 |
| Hull City | 13 | 10 | 11 | 9.0 | +2.0 | 1.03 | 1.67 |
Recent matches
Ipswich — Bournemouth 1:2Bournemouth — 
Leeds 2:0
Manchester United — Bournemouth 0:3Bournemouth — 
Sunderland 2:0
Chelsea — Bournemouth 5:1
Arsenal — 
Brentford 1:1
Fulham — 
Everton 2:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions