Fulham vs Bournemouth: match prediction
FulhamVS
BournemouthThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win28%Fulham
Draw24%
Away win48%Bournemouth
Expected points, home1.09
What to expect
A slight edge to Bournemouth: 48% against 28%. Attack against defence: Bournemouth should create more, 1.78 expected goals a match against 1.38. Fulham are 3.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 15 | 10 | 10 | 13.9 | −3.9 | 1.60 | 1.54 |
| Bournemouth | 7 | 10 | 15 | 18.6 | −3.6 | 2.03 | 1.15 |
Recent matches
Fulham — 
Newcastle United 1:1
Aston Villa — Fulham 1:1
Coventry — Fulham 0:1Fulham — 
Hull 1:0
Ipswich — Fulham 2:1Ipswich — Bournemouth 1:2Bournemouth — 
Leeds 2:0
Manchester United — Bournemouth 0:3Bournemouth — 
Sunderland 2:0
Chelsea — Bournemouth 5:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions