Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur: match prediction
SunderlandVS
Tottenham HotspurThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win42%Sunderland
Draw24%
Away win34%Tottenham Hotspur
Expected points, home1.49
What to expect
No clear favourite: 42% home, 24% draw, 34% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.50 and 1.59 expected goals a match. Sunderland are 6.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 19 | 10 | 8 | 14.2 | −6.2 | 1.62 | 1.74 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14.3 | −2.3 | 1.44 | 1.38 |
Recent matches
Sunderland — 
Chelsea 1:0
Coventry — Sunderland 3:1Sunderland — 
Leeds 0:0
Bournemouth — Sunderland 2:0Sunderland — 
Brighton 0:2Leeds — Tottenham 1:0Tottenham — 
Crystal Palace 2:0Chelsea — Tottenham 0:2Tottenham — Coventry 3:1
Manchester United — Tottenham 1:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions