The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Real Betis are favourites: 62% to win against 20%. Attack against defence: Real Betis should create more, 1.89 expected goals a match against 1.60. Read the table with care: Real Betis have taken 6.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 3 | 9 | 19 | 12.5 | +6.5 | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 7 | 8 | 7.7 | +0.3 | 1.30 | 1.86 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.