Pitch Radar

Brest vs Marseille: match prediction

Brest
VS
Marseille
Ligue 1 · Round 15 · 2 Jan 2027 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win76%Brest
Draw13%
Away win11%Marseille
Expected points, home2.40

What to expect

Brest are favourites: 76% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Brest should create more, 2.13 expected goals a match against 1.52. Read the table with care: Marseille have taken 5.6 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Brest9101518.8−3.82.091.20
Marseille4101812.4+5.61.852.18

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions