Brest vs Troyes: match prediction
BrestVS
TroyesThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win72%Brest
Draw17%
Away win11%Troyes
Expected points, home2.33
What to expect
Brest are favourites: 72% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Brest should create more, 1.84 expected goals a match against 1.19. Brest are 3.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
Recent matches
Lyon 2:0
Lorient — 
Nice 1:2
Lille — 
Angers 5:1
Paris Saint Germain — Troyes 1:0Troyes — 
Le Mans 2:0
Toulouse — Troyes 0:0Troyes — 
Lens 1:3Troyes — 
Marseille 0:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions