The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Le Havre: 48% against 28%. Attack against defence: level, 1.60 and 1.56 expected goals a match. Le Havre are 4.4 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 18 | 7 | 2 | 6.4 | −4.4 | 1.28 | 1.94 |
| Strasbourg | 14 | 7 | 7 | 5.7 | +1.3 | 1.18 | 1.93 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.