Pitch Radar

Lorient vs Lille: match prediction

Lorient
VS
Lille
Ligue 1 · Round 14 · 12 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win47%Lorient
Draw29%
Away win23%Lille
Expected points, home1.71

What to expect

A slight edge to Lorient: 47% against 23%. Attack against defence: level, 1.33 and 1.20 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Lille have taken 7.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lorient10101515.4−0.41.241.01
Lille2102113.8+7.31.391.43

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions