The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Strasbourg: 48% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.72 and 1.65 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Strasbourg have taken 2.4 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 | 1.29 | 1.92 |
| Auxerre | 10 | 5 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | 1.37 | 2.14 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.