Pitch Radar

Toulouse vs Angers: match prediction

Toulouse
VS
Angers
Ligue 1 · Round 15 · 2 Jan 2027 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win73%Toulouse
Draw16%
Away win11%Angers
Expected points, home2.34

What to expect

Toulouse are favourites: 73% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Toulouse should create more, 1.91 expected goals a match against 1.28. Toulouse are 5.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Toulouse12101318.0−5.01.761.25
Angers161089.6−1.61.312.06

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions