Dynamo Makhachkala vs Fakel Voronezh: match prediction
Dynamo MakhachkalaVS
Fakel VoronezhThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win57%Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw25%
Away win19%Fakel Voronezh
Expected points, home1.95
What to expect
Dynamo Makhachkala are favourites: 57% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Dynamo Makhachkala should create more, 1.35 expected goals a match against 1.11. Fakel Voronezh are 6.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18.6 | −2.6 | 1.26 | 1.42 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 14 | 6 | 12.5 | −6.5 | 0.81 | 1.45 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Fakel 1:2 Dynamo Makhachkala (2026-07-25).
Recent matches
Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala 0:1Dynamo Makhachkala — 
FC Rostov 0:3
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0Dynamo Makhachkala — 
Akron 1:1
FC Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0Fakel — 
Dinamo Moscow 1:2
Rubin Kazan — Fakel 1:0Fakel — 
Rodina 0:1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel 1:2Fakel — 
Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions