Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow: match prediction
Lokomotiv MoscowVS
CSKA MoscowThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win24%Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw20%
Away win56%CSKA Moscow
Expected points, home0.93
What to expect
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 56% to win against 24%. Attack against defence: CSKA Moscow should create more, 1.78 expected goals a match against 1.27. Read the table with care: CSKA Moscow have taken 2.7 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13.6 | −2.6 | 1.21 | 1.86 |
| CSKA Moscow | 5 | 14 | 26 | 23.3 | +2.7 | 1.70 | 1.33 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: CSKA Moscow 3:2 Lokomotiv Moscow (2026-08-22).
Recent matches
Lokomotiv Moscow — 
Rubin Kazan 0:1Lokomotiv Moscow — 
Spartak Moscow 0:4
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:0Lokomotiv Moscow — 
FC Krasnodar 3:3
Fakel — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5FC Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow 4:2
FC Orenburg — CSKA Moscow 0:0CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow 2:0
Dinamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow 3:1CSKA Moscow — 
Rodina 3:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions