Zenit vs Fakel Voronezh: match prediction
ZenitVS
Fakel VoronezhThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win73%Zenit
Draw18%
Away win9%Fakel Voronezh
Expected points, home2.38
What to expect
Zenit are favourites: 73% to win against 9%. Attack against defence: Zenit should create more, 1.51 expected goals a match against 0.86. Fakel Voronezh are 6.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1 | 14 | 31 | 25.6 | +5.4 | 1.57 | 0.92 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 14 | 6 | 12.5 | −6.5 | 0.81 | 1.45 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Fakel 0:1 Zenit St. Petersburg (2026-08-29).
Recent matches
Zenit St. Petersburg — 
FC Rostov 2:2
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg 0:3Zenit St. Petersburg — 
Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0Zenit St. Petersburg — 
FK Akhmat 3:2
FC Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg 2:3Fakel — 
Dinamo Moscow 1:2
Rubin Kazan — Fakel 1:0Fakel — 
Rodina 0:1Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel 1:2Fakel — 
Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions