Pitch Radar

Frosinone vs Lazio: match prediction

Frosinone
VS
Lazio
Serie A · Round 16 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win34%Frosinone
Draw21%
Away win45%Lazio
Expected points, home1.24

What to expect

A slight edge to Lazio: 45% against 34%. Attack against defence: Lazio should create more, 2.00 expected goals a match against 1.69. Read the table with care: Lazio have taken 11.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Frosinone6112014.8+5.21.982.18
Lazio1112918.0+11.01.831.39

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions