Pitch Radar

Frosinone vs Parma: match prediction

Frosinone
VS
Parma
Serie A · Round 13 · 28 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win75%Frosinone
Draw14%
Away win11%Parma
Expected points, home2.39

What to expect

Frosinone are favourites: 75% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Frosinone should create more, 2.07 expected goals a match against 1.54. Read the table with care: Frosinone have taken 5.2 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Frosinone6112014.8+5.21.982.18
Parma161187.2+0.80.892.16

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions