Pitch Radar

Torino vs Como: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 9 · 28 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win21%Torino
Draw22%
Away win56%Como
Expected points, home0.86

What to expect

Como are favourites: 56% to win against 21%. Attack against defence: Como should create more, 1.93 expected goals a match against 1.29.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Torino14545.0−1.01.011.54
Como85109.1+0.92.311.58

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →