Pitch Radar

Venezia vs Sassuolo: match prediction

Serie A · Round 14 · 6 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win52%Venezia
Draw19%
Away win29%Sassuolo
Expected points, home1.75

What to expect

A slight edge to Venezia: 52% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.96 and 1.93 expected goals a match. Venezia are 6.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Venezia20939.9−6.91.732.32
Sassuolo15989.4−1.41.542.19

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions