The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:1 | 2.29 : 2.41 | even by chances | |
| 2:2 | 2.25 : 1.70 | dropped points | |
| 5:2 | 1.64 : 2.09 | even by chances | |
| 1:2 | 0.59 : 2.67 | deserved | |
| 2:1 | 1.60 : 1.25 | even by chances | |
| 1:0 | 0.72 : 1.26 | got lucky | |
| 1:2 | 1.60 : 1.76 | even by chances | |
| 2:0 | 2.28 : 0.35 | deserved | |
| 2:1 | 1.90 : 2.64 | got lucky |
Bayern Munich — 2.67 xG. Opponent: Mainz 05. Result: a win.
Schalke 04: 2.64 xG against the opponent's 1.90. Result: a defeat.