The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 39% home, 23% draw, 38% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.83 and 1.86 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Hamburger SV have taken 3.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 11 | 7 | 9 | 6.0 | +3.0 | 1.08 | 2.02 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 6.0 | −3.0 | 1.70 | 2.59 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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