The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:1 | 1.14 : 1.96 | got lucky | |
| 1:2 | 0.97 : 1.56 | deserved | |
| 0:2 | 0.46 : 3.85 | deserved | |
| 2:0 | 1.26 : 1.18 | even by chances | |
| 0:0 | 1.40 : 0.86 | dropped points | |
| 2:4 | 2.15 : 3.07 | deserved | |
| 2:2 | 3.77 : 0.62 | dropped points | |
| 1:1 | 0.80 : 1.46 | dropped points | |
| 3:1 | 2.30 : 1.48 | deserved |
RB Leipzig — 3.85 xG. Opponent: Schalke 04. Result: a win.
Bayern Munich: 3.77 xG against the opponent's 0.62. Result: a draw.