The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Freiburg are favourites: 75% to win against 9%. Attack against defence: Freiburg should create more, 2.04 expected goals a match against 1.23.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 3 | 7 | 13 | 12.3 | +0.7 | 1.76 | 1.34 |
| Union Berlin | 17 | 7 | 6 | 6.2 | −0.2 | 1.13 | 2.31 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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