The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:1 | 2.76 : 1.70 | deserved | |
| 2:5 | 1.52 : 3.17 | deserved | |
| 3:1 | 0.91 : 2.12 | got lucky | |
| 1:0 | 1.66 : 0.15 | deserved | |
| 2:0 | 1.96 : 0.82 | deserved | |
| 2:1 | 1.17 : 1.40 | even by chances | |
| 1:2 | 1.42 : 2.02 | deserved | |
| 2:0 | 0.63 : 0.45 | even by chances | |
| 2:4 | 1.04 : 2.54 | deserved | |
| 0:3 | 2.84 : 0.36 | got lucky |
Roma — 3.17 xG. Opponent: Udinese. Result: a win.
Atalanta: 2.84 xG against the opponent's 0.36. Result: a defeat.