The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia — Fiorentina | 2:4 | 1.03 : 3.13 | deserved |
| Genoa — Frosinone | 1:1 | 1.84 : 1.75 | even by chances |
| Lazio — AC Milan | 2:2 | 2.36 : 2.16 | even by chances |
| Atalanta — Cagliari | 1:2 | 1.48 : 1.31 | even by chances |
| Lecce — Monza | 3:2 | 1.95 : 3.09 | got lucky |
| Napoli — Bologna | 1:0 | 2.25 : 0.17 | deserved |
| Sassuolo — Juventus | 3:2 | 0.96 : 1.18 | even by chances |
| Torino — Roma | 0:2 | 0.71 : 2.33 | deserved |
| Como — Parma | 2:1 | 3.77 : 1.55 | deserved |
| Inter — Udinese | 5:3 | 3.69 : 1.29 | deserved |
Como — 3.77 xG. Opponent: Parma. Result: a win.
Monza: 3.09 xG against the opponent's 1.95. Result: a defeat.