The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayer Leverkusen | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 8 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 4.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.1 | +3.1 |
| xG per match | 2.55 | 2.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.12 | 2.62 |
| Scored | 14 | 13 |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 |
By quality of play Bayer Leverkusen is ahead: 11.1 xPTS against 4.9. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Bayer Leverkusen: −1.1, Augsburg: +3.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayer Leverkusen — 11.0, Augsburg — 5.7.