The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayer Leverkusen | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 13 | 12 |
| xPTS | 13 | 9.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.0 | +2.7 |
| xG per match | 2.14 | 1.68 |
| xGA per match | 1.43 | 1.74 |
| Scored | 16 | 15 |
| Conceded | 12 | 14 |
By quality of play Bayer Leverkusen is ahead: 13.0 xPTS against 9.3. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Bayer Leverkusen: −0.0, Werder Bremen: +2.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayer Leverkusen — 9.5, Werder Bremen — 8.1.