The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 5 |
| Points | 11 | 9 |
| xPTS | 13.7 | 10.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.7 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 3.58 | 2.7 |
| xGA per match | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| Scored | 16 | 15 |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
By quality of play Bayern Munich is ahead: 13.7 xPTS against 10.5. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Bayern Munich: −2.7, RB Leipzig: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayern Munich — 10.9, RB Leipzig — 10.6.