The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| 1. FC Köln | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 5.8 | 4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.8 | −0.0 |
| xG per match | 2.24 | 1.03 |
| xGA per match | 2.17 | 2.03 |
| Scored | 6 | 3 |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
By quality of play 1. FC Köln is ahead: 5.8 xPTS against 4.0. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — 1. FC Köln: −1.8, Paderborn: −0.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: 1. FC Köln — 8.9, Paderborn — 4.8.