The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Freiburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 5 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.2 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 2.16 | 2.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.01 | 1.42 |
| Scored | 12 | 15 |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
By quality of play RB Leipzig is ahead: 10.5 xPTS against 8.8. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Freiburg: +1.2, RB Leipzig: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Freiburg — 9.7, RB Leipzig — 10.6.