The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Hamburger SV | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 6 | 5 |
| xPTS | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.3 | +0.7 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 1.65 |
| xGA per match | 2.03 | 2.58 |
| Scored | 5 | 3 |
| Conceded | 15 | 4 |
By quality of play they are level: 4.7 xPTS against 4.3. The gap between points and play — Hamburger SV: +1.3, Schalke 04: +0.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Hamburger SV — 5.7, Schalke 04 — 2.9.