The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Schalke 04 | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 6 | 6 |
| xPTS | 5.7 | 6.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | −0.2 |
| xG per match | 1.12 | 1.13 |
| xGA per match | 2.09 | 2.31 |
| Scored | 4 | 6 |
| Conceded | 7 | 18 |
By quality of play they are level: 5.7 xPTS against 6.2. The gap between points and play — Schalke 04: +0.3, Union Berlin: −0.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Schalke 04 — 3.9, Union Berlin — 3.8.