The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Aston Villa | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| xPTS | 4 | 7.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.0 | −4.8 |
| xG per match | 1 | 1.62 |
| xGA per match | 2.17 | 1.4 |
| Scored | 4 | 6 |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 |
By quality of play Bournemouth is ahead: 7.8 xPTS against 4.0. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Aston Villa: +0.0, Bournemouth: −4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Aston Villa — 3.4, Bournemouth — 7.3.