The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Aston Villa | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 8.3 | 7.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.7 | +2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.17 |
| xGA per match | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 |
By quality of play they are level: 8.3 xPTS against 7.7. The gap between points and play — Aston Villa: +2.7, Hull City: +2.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Aston Villa — 5.7, Hull City — 4.8.