The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Liverpool | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 15 | 13 |
| xPTS | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.2 | +2.8 |
| xG per match | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| xGA per match | 1.34 | 1.69 |
| Scored | 11 | 17 |
| Conceded | 8 | 15 |
By quality of play Liverpool is ahead: 11.8 xPTS against 10.2. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Liverpool: +3.2, Chelsea: +2.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Liverpool — 7.6, Chelsea — 6.9.